About & method
Brown Bear Research publishes descriptive analysis of US stocks. It describes observable conditions — trend state, cash flow, extension, insider filings. It does not predict returns, and it does not tell you what to buy.
What these numbers are
Every figure comes from a deterministic scoring engine reading daily and weekly price bars, plus reported fundamentals from SEC filings. There is no discretionary input and no forecast. Given the same inputs, the engine returns the same output every time.
What each panel actually measures
This is the part most sites skip. Several measures here are informative as description while having been tested and rejected as return signals. Both things are true at once, and the labels say so:
- Chase Risk
- Measures how extended a move is. It tracks drawdown exposure, not expected return -- a high score is not a sell signal.
- Phs
- Position Health blends tactical condition, extension, repair and a structural anchor. It describes current technical state, not outlook.
- Bcs
- Business Conviction is slow-moving and mostly structural. It answers 'how much would we want to own this business', not 'will it go up'.
- Insider
- Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.
- Cash Flow Strength
- Free cash flow as a share of revenue. Note this is FCF/revenue, not the FCF/assets measure that survived testing.
- Winner Pullback
- Long-term leaders trading below their 252-day high. A descriptive filter, not the WIVP construction, which is fenced as unwired.
- Regime
- A label for the current price/volume configuration. Descriptive state, not a prediction.
Coverage
Latest run 2026-08-11 13:05:41 covered 30 of 30 names (100.0%).
Freshness
Market data is cached and shared across the site rather than re-requested per visitor. Live entries: frame 3 · intraday 0 · macro 0 · news 0 · public_float 457
Prices and scores reflect the last completed session, not live quotes. Intraday charts and headlines are fetched on demand and cached briefly.
Data quality
Trailing returns beyond ±1000% are excluded from the ranked lists and reported by name rather than silently dropped. A 252-day window spanning a spin-off or re-listing can produce a return that is an artifact of the price series rather than a move anyone could have captured. Extreme but genuine sector moves are kept.
Limitations
- Scores describe the present, not the future. None has been shown to predict returns.
- Which stocks appear on the front page is itself a selection made by the engine.
- Fundamentals are as-reported and may lag the most recent filing.
- Nightly figures reflect the last completed session, not live prices.
Disclaimer
Brown Bear Research publishes descriptive stock analysis for information only. Nothing here is investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Scores and labels describe observable price, volume and reported-fundamental conditions; they are not forecasts and have not been shown to predict returns. Do your own research.